Izvestiya of Saratov University.
ISSN 1994-2540 (Print)
ISSN 2542-1956 (Online)


VUCA

The evolution of instability concepts in the economic and political environment

Introduction. The purpose of developing instability concepts in the economic and political environment is to create a set of instruments for effective planning and forecasting the consequences of managerial decisions, the one that corresponds to the qualities and characteristics of this environment in a given historical period. Studying the evolution of such concepts enables a number of conclusions to be drawn about the nature of changes that have occurred in the sphere of global economic and managerial relations over recent decades.

Эволюция концепций нестабильности экономической и политической среды

Введение. Целью создания концепций нестабильности экономической и политической среды является выработка инструментария для эффективного планирования и прогнозирования последствий принимаемых управленческих решений, отвечающего качествам и особенностям этой среды в тот или иной исторический период. Изучение процесса эволюции таких концепций позволяет сделать ряд выводов и о характере изменений, произошедших в сфере глобальных хозяйственных и управленческих отношений за последние десятилетия. Теоретический анализ.

Strategic Due Diligence in the VUCA world: Integrating geopolitical and climate trend analysis into company evaluation

Introduction. The article develops an approach to strategic Due Diligence in mergers and acquisitions under conditions of external instability. It is shown that classical Due Diligence, focused mainly on retrospective financial and legal review, is insufficient for assessing the future resilience of a business model. The purpose of the study is to justify strategic Due Diligence as an independent stage of analysis that takes into account geopolitical, climate, regulatory, and technological risks. Theoretical analysis.