For citation:
Tregubov V. N., Slavnetskova L. V. Promising areas and megatrends in the development of logistics technologies in the future. Journal Izvestiya of Saratov University. Economics. Management. Law, 2025, vol. 25, iss. 2, pp. 164-172. DOI: 10.18500/1994-2540-2025-25-2-164-172, EDN: OONOWY
Promising areas and megatrends in the development of logistics technologies in the future
Introduction. The article considers the development trends of future logistics technologies and shows that in modern conditions, the construction of a reliable forecast for the development of the logistics and supply chain management sphere is possible only for a fairly short term, which reflects the time of the currently existing technologies’ active use, until they are completely replaced by other more effective technologies. For a longer term, only visionary forecasts are possible, which are based on the predictive intuition of their creators. Theoretical analysis. In the theoretical part, the authors analyze possible scenarios of the future and their impact on product transportation technologies and logistics, and also describe megatrends in the development of society that affect logistics. The described megatrends are the basis for creating ecosystems and platforms of various types. The authors have determined that the key trend is increasing the flexibility of the logistics process, improving its ability to adapt to changing external conditions and continuously improve. Empirical analysis. In the empirical part, the authors considered promising information technologies that will be actively used in the field of logistics and will provide support for the presented development scenarios. Their systematization allowed the authors to combine logistics development scenarios with megatrends and present the potential practical implementation of the logistics process based on them. Results. The described technologies and scenarios for their use are aimed at building effective cooperative relationships between participants in the logistics process. To achieve the stated goal of the study, the authors developed a conceptual model of the logistics process focused on the formation of effective cooperative relationships between entities of the logistics system through the widespread introduction of promising information technologies. Conclution. The practical significance of the study lies in the possibility of using the proposed scenarios and technological solutions to optimize logistics processes in the context of digital transformation of economic systems.
- Tsifrovaya ekonomika: 2022: kratkiy stat. sb. [Gokhberg L. (ed.) Digital Economy: 2022: Brief statistical collection]. Moscow, HSE Publishing House, 2022. 124 p. (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.17323/978-5-7598-2599-9, EDN: KBTTRT
- Grefen P., Hofman W., Dijkman R., Veenstra A., Peters S. An Integrated View on the Future of Logistics and Information Technology, 2018. 22 p. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1805.12485
- Shcherbakov V. V., Shulzhenko T. G., Kol O. D., Shevchenko S. Yu. Kontseptual’nye problemy teorii i metodologii logistiki [Conceptual problems of the theory and methodology of logistics]. St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg State University of Economics Publ., 2021. 169 p. (in Russian). EDN: BYNTZI
- Shulzhenko T. G. Prospects for Intellectualization of Logistics Process Management. Logistika i upravlenie tsepyami postavok [Logistics and Supply Chain Management: Collection of Scientifi c Papers]. Iss. 6 (19). St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg State University of Economics Publ., 2022, pp. 185–191 (in Russian). EDN: MEPDZY
- Shulzhenko T. G. Methodological approach to the reengineering of logistics business processes in the transport chains with the implementation of smart contracts. Management Sciences, 2020, vol. 10, no. 2, рp. 53–73 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.26794/2404-022X-2020-10-2-53-73, EDN: LYERIZ
- Dmitriev A. V. Digital technologies of transportation and logistics systems visibility. Strategicheskiye resheniya i risk-menedzhment [Strategic Decisions and Risk Management], 2019, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 20–26 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.17747/2618947X201912026-1-20-26, EDN: ZCWDJZ
- Myasnikova L. A. The development of forms of organization of logistics: From competition to cooperation. In: Forsayt logistiki: budushcheye logistiki glazami molodykh uchenykh : sbornik materialov mezhdunarodnoy forsayt-sessii (Sankt-Peterburg, 28 fevralya 2018 g.) [Foresight of Logistics: The Future of Logistics Through the Eyes of Young Scientists. Collection of materials of the International foresight session (St. Petersburg, February 28, 2018). St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg State University of Economics Publ., 2018, pp. 125–132 (in Russian). YXMXIG
- Myasnikova L. A. Logistics of additive production. Vestnik fakul’teta upravleniya SPbGEU [Bulletin of the Faculty of Management of St. Petersburg State University of Economics], 2017, no. 1, pp. 419–422 (in Russian). EDN: YZCFIZ
- Liu H. Forecasting Model of Supply Chain Management Based on Neural Network Paris. Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Automation, Mechanical Control and Computational Engineering. Paris, France, Atlantis Press, 2015, pp. 179–183. https://doi.org/10.2991/amcce-15.2015.32
- Gviliya N. A. Shulzhenko T. G. Conceptual approach to digital transformation of corporate logistics management, taking into account the theory of dynamic possibilities. RISK: Resursy, Informatsiya, Snabzheniye, Konkurentsiya [RISK: Resources, Information, Supply, Competition], 2021, no. 1, pp. 6–11 (in Russian). EDN: ZIIFUV
- Dmitriev A. V. Didzhitalizatsiya transportnoy logistiki [Digitalization of transport logistics]. St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg State University of Economics Publ., 2018. 161 p. (in Russian). EDN: YPYAPZ
- Tregubov V. N. Models for synchronizing the interests of the parties when choosing a tariff and justifying the required number of buses on a city route. Bulletin of the Saratov State Technical University, 2009, vol. 4, no. 1 (42), pp. 247–253 (in Russian). EDN KZTMFD
- Shcherbakov V. V. Sharing Economy of Network Logistics of Business Complexes. Logistika i upravlenie tsepyami postavok [Logistics and Supply Chain Management: Collection of Scientifi c Papers]. Iss. 4 (17). St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg State University of Economics Publ., 2020, pp. 5–13 (in Russian). EDN: JTWXJF
- Dmitriev A. V. Tsifrovyye informatsionnyye tekhnologii v ekosistemakh transportno-logisticheskogo obsluzhivaniya [Digital information technologies in ecosystems of transport and logistics services]. St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg State University of Economics Publ., 2021. 160 p. (in Russian). EDN: LOOFRY
- Mednikova O. V., Matviyevskaya T. B. Digitalization of the transport and logistics market: Integration of information systems. Russian experience in implementing digital technologies in the organization of logistics processes. Bulletin of the Academy of Knowledge, 2021, no. 45 (4), pp. 197–204 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.24412/2304-6139-2021-11357, EDN: OGCHIK